Najorleaguebaseball Soccer Betting News

<< Grafite eyes future in Italy
Wolfsburg, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wolfsburg's in-form Brazilian striker Grafite has admitted that he would like to try his luck in Italy at some point in the future. The 30-year-old former Sao Paulo and Le Mans forward has helped hi

<< Banega unsure over Atletico future
Madrid, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Argentinean midfielder Ever Banega is unsure whether he will remain with Atletico Madrid beyond the end of his season-long loan. The 20-year-old belongs to Valencia and moved to the Vicente Calderon las

<< Emerson leaves Milan
Milan, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - AC Milan have announced that veteran Brazil midfielder Emerson has left the club with immediate effect due to personal issues. The 33-year-old former Juventus, Real Madrid and Roma star had been at the

<< Bullard committed to Tigers
Hull, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Injured midfielder Jimmy Bullard has pledged his long-term future to Hull City whatever the outcome of their fight to avoid relegation. The England midfielder has been sidelined since suffering a season-endi

Juve return interests Cannavaro >>
Turin, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Veteran defender Fabio Cannavaro says he would relish a return to Juventus, as his time with Real Madrid appears to be coming to an end. The 35-year-old Italy captain left Juve in the summer of 2006 to h

Rockies place P Morales on DL >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Rockies placed pitcher Franklin Morales on the 15-day disabled list Wednesday with a left shoulder strain. Morales started Tuesday's 9-6 victory for the Rockies over Arizona. He pitched

Rose named season's top rookie >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chicago Bulls point guard Derrick Rose was named the NBA's Rookie of the Year on Wednesday. A Chicago native, Rose was drafted first overall by the Bulls after playing just one season at the Universi

Kentucky Derby decision on Advice coming >>
Lexington, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lexington Stakes winner Advice is scheduled to arrive at Churchill Downs this week from Keeneland in preparation for next week's $2 million Kentucky Derby. However, a final decision on the colt's Derby s

Betting Football

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.